NEWS

RJ's NFL Picks, Week Eight

Written by RJ Elliott
Published October 21, 2008
Part of NFL Picks

I went 11-3 last week. That puts me at 62-40 for the season. For a comparison, check out the "experts" over at ESPN.

Here are my picks for the NFL's Week 8:

*SUNDAY, OCTOBER 26*

Tampa Bay 5-2 at Dallas 4-3 - 1:00 PM (Line: Dallas by 3.5)

The Buccaneers have won two straight and are atop the NFC South, but they are just 1-2 on the road this season. The Cowboys are averaging the third most yards per game in the league, but they have dropped their last two.

RJ's Pick: Dallas by 9

Washington 5-2 at Detroit 0-6 - 1:00 PM (Line: Washington by 7.5)

Redskins QB Jason Campbell has not thrown a single interception in seven starts and has a quarterback rating of 96.3. The winless Lions are ranked dead last in the league in points allowed per game as well as yards allowed per game.

RJ's Pick: Washington by 28

Buffalo 5-1 at Miami 2-4 - 1:00 PM (Line: Buffalo by 1.5)

The surprising Bills play their first game against a divisional opponent this week. The Dolphins have been struggling with their red-zone offense; they are ranked 11th in the league in yards per game, but just 23rd in the league in points per game.

RJ's Pick: Buffalo by 6

Saint Louis 2-4 at New England 4-2 - 1:00 PM (Line: New England by 7)

The Rams have won two in a row after losing their first four games of the season. The Patriots continue to be hampered by injuries, as safety Rodney Harrison appears to be done for the season after injuring his right thigh muscle last week.

RJ's Pick: New England by 2

San Diego 3-4 at New Orleans 3-4 [to be played at Wembley Stadium in London, England] - 1:00 PM (Line: San Diego by 3)

Chargers running back LaDainian Tomlinson is averaging just 3.6 yards per carry this season, and hasn't had a 100-yard game or scored a touchdown since Week 4. The disappointing Saints will be without RB Reggie Bush for several weeks after he had surgery on his left knee.

RJ's Pick: San Diego by 10

Kansas City 1-5 at New York Jets 3-3 - 1:00 PM (Line: New York Jets by 12.5)

The Chiefs have scored just 75 points through six games, the fewest in the NFL. Jets RB Thomas Jones rushed for 159 yards on 24 carries in an overtime loss to Oakland last week.

RJ's Pick: New York Jets by 21

Atlanta 4-2 at Philadelphia 3-3 - 1:00 PM (Line: Philadelphia by 8.5)

The surprising Falcons have won two in a row and have the second best rushing offense in the NFL. The Eagles are fourth in the league in points scored per game despite having a running game that is ranked 29th.

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RJ is a graduate student at the University of Central Florida. His passions in life are sports, politics, nature, and women who have piercings they never told their daddy about. He dislikes daytime television, left-wing dictators, and people who talk like Garrison Keillor. His favorite cheese is Havarti.
Keep reading for information and comments on this article, and add some feedback of your own!
RJ's NFL Picks, Week Eight
Published: October 21, 2008
Type: News
Section: Sports
Filed Under: Sports: Football (American)
Part of a feature: NFL Picks
Writer: RJ Elliott
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Comments

#1 — October 22, 2008 @ 06:27AM — J


This article is about the author, RJ, predicting the outcome of this weeks NFL games. The point was to pick the correct winners. He went game by game, gave a little analysis, and then picked the winner and by how much. This article is meant to give expert analysis on this weeks football games and to pick the correct winners. He also wants to give his opinion on the games and help out other people when they make their own picks. He thinks he has sufficient knowledge of the subject to help out others and get recognized for his picks.
I think its a decent article. He picks the winners of each game and gives the points he thinks they will win by. I do not think he gives enough analysis of each game. In most predictions he just gives meaningless facts and does not present the most valuable information such as on the subject of the Dallas vs. Tampa Bay game, which most consider to be the game of the week. This is the information he gives : "The Buccaneers have won two straight and are atop the NFC South, but they are just 1-2 on the road this season. The Cowboys are averaging the third most yards per game in the league, but they have dropped their last two. ". This fails to mention that Dallas' star quarterback Tony (Homo) Romo will not be playing and that Dallas' number one corner is suspended.
I disagree with the authors picks on the two most significant games this week. I just do not understand his rationale for picking Dallas to beat Tampa Bay. Dallas is starting Brad Johnson for the second straight week. This guy is forty years old and he does not have it in him to beat his former team, the Buccaneers. Last week he started against the Rams, who are one of the worst teams in the NFL all around this season. Johnson threw three picks and one meaningless touchdown against the Rams defense who has allowed thirty eight points to the Eagles, forty one to the Giants, thirty seven to the SEAHAWKS who are complete garbage this year. The Buccaneers have one of the best defenses in the league, and not to mention a team that knows what he does. And if you want to make a point about Dallas' defense do not even start, this squad has been underachieving all year. Dallas' defense has allowed 20+ points in five of seven games. This will be a blowout in the Buccaneers favor. I could go on, I have endless points why the Buccaneers will win while the reason for the author picking the Cowboys is "The Cowboys are averaging the third most yards per game in the league", yea it may be true, but that was with their starting quarterback.
This article is missing the important factors in picking the games. As I stated before he gives little fun facts that have no pull toward the game. He should discuss more what streaks the teams are on, what type of opponents have the team faced, and injury reports. I mean, the analysis on some games are fine I am just so perplexed of how badly described the match up between Dallas vs Tampa Bay. Also on his "Game of the Week" featuring the Steelers and Giants he gives two sentences of analysis and barely any detail. What I do like about this article is how he picked every game. Some prediction articles I read only pick the games they think are important, try telling the players on certain teams that the game your playing in this week is not worth a paragraph of effort. And as much as I might have ripped this guy, his record is 62-40, so he has some credibility. I just think that he may of gotten a little lazy in this weeks picks. I also liked how he picked the scores of the games, adds a little more excitement to his picks. Overall I think it was a fun read, but if the guy is going to make an article on picks, he should put some more research into it.

#2 — October 22, 2008 @ 12:07PM — RJ Elliott [URL]

Thanks for your feedback, J.

Yes, the last couple of weeks my articles have been shorter than usual, it's true. However if you look at my picks from earlier in the season, those articles offered much more in-depth analysis of each game and the various matchups involved. It's just that I've been incredibly busy this month working on other projects, so I have neglected writing out these NFL articles more fully.

As for the Tampa Bay - Dallas game, at the time I was writing the article Romo was rumored to be starting this week. Also, the Vegas oddsmakers favor the Cowboys, albeit narrowly. So I guess we'll just have to see. As they say, that's why they play the games!

Thank you for your readership,
RJ

#3 — October 22, 2008 @ 15:14PM — Matthew T. Sussman [URL]

Not one straight up underdog?

#4 — October 22, 2008 @ 15:48PM — RJ Elliott [URL]

Huh. I didn't even notice that, Matt. Good eye.

#5 — October 22, 2008 @ 23:35PM — alessandro [URL]

All those carrots have paid off for Matt.

#6 — October 23, 2008 @ 12:20PM — Mike

I am just curious what your season record is against the spread, I assumed you were using spreads since you listed the lines in your article.

#7 — October 24, 2008 @ 12:33PM — EEL

WEEK 8 PICKS
( STRAIGHT )

SAINTS
RAVENS
BILLS
JETS
PANTHERS
BUCCS
REDSKINS
PATS
FALCONS
JAGS
STEELERS
49ERS - BLOWOUT ! ( I HOPE )
TITANS - MONDAY NIGHT

#8 — October 24, 2008 @ 12:54PM — DOM

J... LOL.. its all in fun bud

#9 — October 24, 2008 @ 14:50PM — DOM

k.. 9-5 like 3 weeks in a row.. 63-39 overall

Dallas.. despite everything.. the cardinal rule is never go against a team that's lost two when the third game is at home. (the team has to be halfway descent for this rule to apply) :)

Washington.. Detroit would naturally fall into the rule i just stated above, but.. it's Detroit.

Miami.. Miami also with two losses coming home.. can't break the rule here..

Patriots.. rams managing to beat two good teams back to back.. pats slaughtering broncos... this SHOULD be interesting

Saints
Jets
Eagles
Baltimore
Arizona
Jacksonville

Bengals.. if they r going to win a game now's the time.

Giants

SF.. falls into the rule.. although they r playing a team that is long due for a win. YAY for Singletary.

Colts.. going to be a tough game for them.. but a W this week means alot.




#10 — October 24, 2008 @ 15:52PM — RJ Elliott [URL]

EEL,

I think you missed a game.

#11 — October 25, 2008 @ 19:16PM — alessandro [URL]

Bal, Jack, SF, Wash, SD, NYJ, Phi, Car, NE, Ten, Pit, TB, Mia, Hou


#12 — October 25, 2008 @ 23:08PM — RJ Elliott [URL]

Thank you, Alessandro.

I wonder what the Vegas odds are on the Lions going 0-16?

#13 — October 25, 2008 @ 23:11PM — RJ Elliott [URL]

Thanks for your picks, DOM.

How long do you suppose Singletary will last as head coach?

#14 — October 26, 2008 @ 11:52AM — Adam [URL]

I should be comming into this week at 60-42, but I was in a bit of a hurry adding them up so I'll double check later.

Here are my picks for this week, which I am feeling better than usual about.

Bucs
Skins
Bills
Pats
Saints
Jets
Eagles
Panthers
Ravens
Texans
Jacksonville
Steelers
Seahawks (still time to turn it around baby!)
Texans

#15 — October 26, 2008 @ 16:10PM — RJ Elliott [URL]

Final Scores:

Washington 25, Lions 17 - RJ 1-0

Dallas 13, TB 9 - RJ 2-0 [Sorry, J!]

#16 — October 26, 2008 @ 16:15PM — RJ Elliott [URL]

Final Scores:

Baltimore 29, Oakland 10 - RJ 3-0

Carolina 27, Arizona 23 - RJ 4-0

#17 — October 26, 2008 @ 16:17PM — RJ Elliott [URL]

Final Scores:

Miami 25, Bills 16 - RJ 4-1

NE 23, Rams 16 - RJ 5-1

#18 — October 26, 2008 @ 16:20PM — RJ Elliott [URL]

Final Scores:

Jets 28, Chiefs 24 - RJ 6-1

Eagles 27, Falcons 14 - RJ 7-1 (and I nailed the spread!)

#19 — October 26, 2008 @ 16:30PM — RJ Elliott [URL]

Final Score:

NO 37, SD 32 - RJ 7-2

#20 — October 26, 2008 @ 16:34PM — RJ Elliott [URL]

ESPN's NFL "experts" through 9 games:

Wickersham
7-2

Fleming
7-2

Hoge
5-4

Jaworski
6-3

Schlereth
7-2

Allen
6-3

Mortensen
6-3

Golic
7-2

Accuscore
7-2

Pick 'em
6-3

#21 — October 26, 2008 @ 20:03PM — RJ Elliott [URL]

Final Scores:

Browns 23, Jaguars 17 - RJ 7-3

Texans 35, Bengals 6 - RJ 8-3

Giants 21, Steelers 14 - RJ 8-4

Seattle 34, SF 13 - RJ 8-5

#22 — October 26, 2008 @ 20:05PM — RJ Elliott [URL]

ESPN's NFL "experts" through 13 games:

Wickersham
9-4

Fleming
8-5

Hoge
6-7

Jaworski
7-6

Schlereth
8-5

Allen
8-5

Mortensen
8-5

Golic
7-6

Accuscore
8-5

Pick 'em
7-6

#23 — October 27, 2008 @ 01:57AM — RJ Elliott [URL]

Just for fun:

AFC EAST 17-11 - GOOD

AFC NORTH 12-17 - BAD

AFC SOUTH 15-11 - GOOD

AFC WEST 10-19 - BAD

AFC TOTAL 54-58

NFC EAST 21-9 VERY GOOD!

NFC NORTH 11-17 BAD

NFC SOUTH 19-12 GOOD

NFC WEST 10-19 BAD

NFC TOTAL 61-57

So, the NFL's 8 divisions can be ranked as:

NFC EAST
AFC EAST
NFC SOUTH
AFC SOUTH
AFC NORTH
NFC NORTH
AFC WEST
NFC WEST

Is anyone else detecting a pattern here?

#24 — October 27, 2008 @ 03:52AM — zingzing

east coast! and the south! and then the north! and then we go west!

east! south! north! west!

e! s! n! w!

esnw!

news?

#25 — October 27, 2008 @ 09:12AM — EEL

R.J
YES I DID SORRY ! BENGS AND TITANS. I KNOW THE TITANS WON BUT THAT WOULD HAVE BEEN MY PICK WITHOUT A DOUBT. TITANS CAN PUT UP SOME PIONTS !

#26 — October 27, 2008 @ 09:18AM — EEL

SORRY TEXANS ! NOT TITANS

#27 — October 28, 2008 @ 13:40PM — RJ Elliott [URL]

Final Score:

Titans 31, Colts 21 - RJ 9-5

#28 — October 28, 2008 @ 13:43PM — RJ Elliott [URL]

ESPN's NFL "experts" -

Wickersham
9-5

Fleming
9-5

Hoge
7-7

Jaworski
7-6

Schlereth
9-5

Allen
9-5

Mortensen
9-5

Golic
8-6

Accuscore
9-5

Pick 'em
8-6

#29 — October 28, 2008 @ 13:55PM — RJ Elliott [URL]

ESPN's NFL "experts" (and RJ!) through 8 weeks:

Mortensen 78-38
Accuscore 76-40
Jaworski 68-40
(RJ - 71-45)
Fleming 70-46
Hoge 70-46
Schlereth 70-46
Allen 70-46
Pick 'em 61-41
Golic 68-47
Wickersham 68-48

#30 — October 28, 2008 @ 14:04PM — RJ Elliott [URL]

RJ ATS in Week 8: 4-9-1

RJ ATS through 8 weeks: 48-65-3

#31 — November 1, 2008 @ 11:11AM — RJ Elliott [URL]

Week 9 is up!

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